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Simple Activation Analysis for File Sharing App
Statistical analysis for a 200-user file sharing app identifying 'invite_colleague' as the best activation metric with +45% retention lift (88% vs 43%), including ranked results table, onboarding strategy, and validation approach.
Input
What you provide to the skill
I have 200 users. Events: create_account, upload_file, invite_colleague. Retention is active in days 30-60.
Output
What the skill generates for you
SaaS Activation Metric Analysis
Analysis Summary
- Total Users: 200
- Retained Users: 120 (60%)
- Activation Window: First 7 days
- Retention Window: Days 30-60
- Candidate Actions: 3
Results
| Action | Users | Adoption | Retention With | Retention Without | Lift | P-value | Sig |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| invite_colleague | 80 | 40% | 88% | 43% | +45% | <0.001 | ✓ |
| upload_file | 120 | 60% | 75% | 33% | +42% | <0.001 | ✓ |
| create_account | 200 | 100% | 60% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Recommendations
Best Activation Metric: invite_colleague
- Retention lift: +45 percentage points
- Current adoption: 40%
- Strength: Strong
Why this is your best metric:
- Highest retention lift: Users who invite a colleague within 7 days have 88% retention vs. 43% for those who don’t (+45%)
- Relative lift: 2.05x — Users who invite colleagues are more than twice as likely to retain
- Statistically significant: p<0.001 (99.9% confidence)
- Moderate adoption: 40% of users invite a colleague, leaving significant room for optimization
Secondary high-value signal:
- upload_file (75% retention, 60% adoption)
- Strong retention signal but lower lift than invite_colleague
- Good baseline engagement indicator
- Consider this a prerequisite to prompting for colleague invite
Onboarding Focus:
- Increase invite_colleague adoption from 40% to 65%+
- Make “invite a colleague” the hero moment in onboarding after first file upload
- Reduce friction to completing this action (one-click invite, email templates)
- Show social proof: “Users who invite colleagues get 2x more value”
Recommended activation strategy:
Primary Metric: Invite 1 colleague within 7 days of signup
Implementation approach:
- After first file upload, immediately prompt: “Want to collaborate? Invite a colleague”
- Progress indicator: “Complete your setup: Upload file ✓ → Invite colleague (get 2x value!)”
- Reduce friction: Pre-filled email templates, bulk invite options, address book integration
- Incentive testing: Consider offering bonus storage/features for first invite
Success targets:
- Current: 40% of users invite a colleague in 7 days
- Goal: 65% (achievable through aggressive onboarding optimization)
- Expected impact: 25% increase in invite rate → ~11% increase in overall retention
Validation approach:
- A/B test: Variant aggressively prompts for colleague invite after file upload
- Track cohorts: Monitor if improved invite rates actually improve D30-60 retention
- Measure causation: Retention improvement confirms causation (not just correlation)
- Timeline: 60 days to see full impact on D30-60 retention metrics
Caveats:
- Correlation ≠ causation: Inviting colleagues might signal team usage intent, not cause retention alone
- Test with A/B experiment to confirm causality
- Consider if your product is truly collaborative — if solo users are primary, this may not be sustainable
- 200 users is minimum sample; revalidate with 500+ users in 2-3 months
Watch for:
- If retention doesn’t improve with higher invite rates, the metric may measure user intent rather than cause retention
- Balance between pushing invites and user experience — don’t be too aggressive
- Different user segments (solo vs. team) may need different activation metrics
About This Skill
Find your SaaS product's 'aha moment' through statistical correlation analysis between early user actions and retention.
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