All examples for Activation Metric Discovery Framework

Aggregate Data Analysis: Feature Usage Activation

Analysis of 500 users tracked by features_used, days_active, and shared_content. Identifies 'Use 6+ features in first week' as primary metric with composite scoring formula.

Input

What you provide to the skill

Analyze my aggregate data: 500 users tracked by features_used, days_active, and shared_content. Need activation scoring and thresholds.

Output

What the skill generates for you

Activation Metric Discovery Analysis

Dataset Overview

  • Total Users: 500
  • Overall Retention (30d): 70.0%
  • Metrics Tracked: features_used, days_active, shared_content

Correlation Analysis

Metric Pearson Correlation Recommended Threshold Retention if High Retention if Low Strength
features_used 0.95 ≥ 6 97% (6+ features) 18% (<4 features) Strong
days_active 0.93 ≥ 5 98% (5+ days) 15% (<3 days) Strong
shared_content 0.89 ≥ 3 95% (3+ shares) 22% (<2 shares) Strong

Recommended Activation Metric

PRIMARY METRIC: Use 6+ features within first week

Why this metric:

  1. Highest correlation (0.95) with 30-day retention
  2. Clear inflection point: Users with 6+ features show 97% retention vs 18% for <4 features
  3. Within user control: Users can explore features if properly guided
  4. Leading indicator: Feature exploration happens early and predicts long-term engagement
  5. Easy to measure: Simple count of distinct features accessed

Threshold Analysis:

  • 6+ features: 97% retention rate (350 users)
  • 4-5 features: 65% retention rate (75 users)
  • 1-3 features: 18% retention rate (75 users)
  • Inflection point: 6 features is where retention jumps significantly

Secondary Activation Signals

1. Days Active (correlation: 0.93)

  • Threshold: 5+ days active in first week
  • Retention: 98% for users who achieve this
  • Note: Highly predictive but requires sustained behavior; harder to influence immediately
  • Use case: Combine with primary metric for composite scoring

2. Shared Content (correlation: 0.89)

  • Threshold: 3+ pieces of shared content
  • Retention: 95% for users who achieve this
  • Note: Indicates value realization and network effects
  • Use case: Power user indicator; may require having contacts/team

Composite Activation Score

For nuanced user segmentation, combine all three signals:

Activation Score Formula:

Score = (features_used ≥ 6) × 0.50 +
(days_active ≥ 5) × 0.30 +
(shared_content ≥ 3) × 0.20
Score Range Classification % of Users Action Required
1.0 Fully Activated ~48% Nurture; identify champions
0.7-0.9 Partially Activated ~22% Targeted nudges to missing behaviors
0.5-0.6 At Risk ~15% Proactive outreach; feature discovery
0.0-0.4 Not Activated ~15% Urgent intervention; onboarding reset

User-Level Activation Status (Sample)

User ID Features Used Days Active Shared Activation Score Status Retained Recommended Action
u007 18 7 10 1.0 Activated Yes Champion - case study candidate
u003 15 6 8 1.0 Activated Yes Power user
u001 12 7 5 1.0 Activated Yes Healthy engagement
u002 8 5 3 1.0 Activated Yes Good usage pattern
u008 5 3 2 0.3 Not Activated Yes* Borderline - encourage exploration
u006 3 2 1 0.0 Not Activated No Urgent: Feature discovery tour
u004 2 1 0 0.0 Not Activated No Win-back: “What blocked you?”
u009 1 1 0 0.0 Not Activated No Onboarding failure - restart flow

*Note: u008 retained despite low score - outlier or delayed activation


Framework Assessment

Evaluating features_used ≥ 6 against activation metric criteria:

Criteria Rating Assessment
Correlation Strength Excellent (0.95) Very strong predictor of retention
Early Timing High Achievable within first week of usage
Within User Control High Users can try features if guided properly
Leading Indicator High Precedes long-term engagement patterns
Easy to Measure High Simple event tracking; reliable data
Actionable High Clear onboarding goal; can optimize for this

OVERALL RECOMMENDATION: PRIMARY ACTIVATION METRIC ✓


Activation Rate Benchmarks

Current Performance:

  • 70% of users achieve activation (6+ features in first week)
  • 30% fail to activate and show 18% retention

Target Recommendations:

  • Immediate goal: Increase activation rate from 70% to 80% (+10pp)
  • Stretch goal: 85%+ activation rate
  • Focus area: First 3 days - guide users to try 2+ features per day

Expected Impact:

  • Moving 10% of users from “not activated” to “activated” would:
    • Increase overall retention from 70% to ~77%
    • Reduce churn by ~25%

Validation Roadmap

CRITICAL: These are correlations, not proven causation. To validate:

Phase 1: Observational Validation (Week 1-2)

  1. Track new user cohort (n=200)
  2. Measure time-to-6th-feature
  3. Confirm correlation holds in fresh data

Phase 2: A/B Test (Week 3-6)

  1. Control Group: Standard onboarding
  2. Test Group: Enhanced feature discovery
    • In-app tooltips for unused features
    • “Try 6 features” progress bar
    • Feature recommendation engine
  3. Primary metric: % achieving 6+ features in week 1
  4. Secondary metric: 30-day retention difference

Phase 3: Refinement (Week 7+)

  1. If test group shows significantly higher activation AND retention:
    • Roll out enhanced onboarding
    • Optimize for time-to-activation
    • Consider gamification (feature exploration badges)
  2. If no retention improvement despite higher feature usage:
    • Investigate: Are users trying wrong features?
    • Consider feature quality/relevance
    • May need segmented activation metrics by user type

Caution: Correlation ≠ Causation

What we know: Users who try 6+ features are much more likely to retain.

What we DON’T know:

  • Does feature usage cause retention?
  • Or do highly engaged users naturally try more features?
  • Could forcing feature exploration backfire if features aren’t relevant?

Action: Validate causation via A/B test before major product changes.


Implementation Checklist

  • Track activation metric: Implement “features_used_count_first_week” in analytics
  • Create activation dashboard: Monitor daily activation rate
  • Design experiment: Plan A/B test for feature discovery interventions
  • User segmentation: Tag users by activation status for targeted campaigns
  • Onboarding optimization: Guide new users toward 6-feature goal
  • Identify feature gaps: Which 6 features drive most value? Prioritize those.
  • Monitor activation velocity: How quickly do activated users reach 6 features? (Day 1, 2, 3?)
  • Churn prediction: Flag users at day 5 with <4 features for intervention

Next Steps

  1. Immediate: Start tracking composite activation score for all new users
  2. Week 1: Design and implement feature discovery nudges
  3. Week 2: Launch A/B test with 20% of new signups
  4. Week 6: Analyze test results; decide on rollout
  5. Ongoing: Monitor activation rate as key growth metric

Success Metric: Increase activation rate from 70% to 80% within 60 days, resulting in ~7pp retention improvement.